Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.161194 0.183876 0.209162 0.239540 0.275178 0.315815 0.365884
2025-11-30 0.126898 0.157321 0.194714 0.244506 0.309751 0.393280 0.509841
2025-12-07 0.103782 0.136313 0.179130 0.240530 0.327841 0.449892 0.637671
2025-12-14 0.089884 0.123572 0.170404 0.241734 0.350285 0.513772 0.787594
2025-12-21 0.079286 0.113189 0.162514 0.241569 0.369100 0.574133 0.944675
2025-12-28 0.072462 0.107004 0.159367 0.247301 0.397058 0.653148 1.151213
2026-01-04 0.066398 0.100999 0.155387 0.250610 0.420937 0.729205 1.371472
2026-01-11 0.061369 0.095889 0.151972 0.254006 0.445065 0.809932 1.622295
2026-01-18 0.057646 0.092387 0.150630 0.260575 0.475815 0.909206 1.940623
2026-01-25 0.053540 0.087735 0.146667 0.261622 0.495847 0.990748 2.243564
2026-02-01 0.049779 0.083247 0.142411 0.261379 0.513031 1.069615 2.564993
2026-02-08 0.046175 0.078654 0.137409 0.258890 0.524908 1.138955 2.884718
2026-02-15 0.042675 0.073973 0.131853 0.254767 0.533112 1.203093 3.218197
2026-02-22 0.040766 0.072055 0.131361 0.261169 0.566586 1.338120 3.817025
2026-03-01 0.037897 0.068040 0.126319 0.257041 0.574391 1.408779 4.242801
2026-03-08 0.035879 0.065474 0.123897 0.258368 0.595862 1.522166 4.865038
2026-03-15 0.033908 0.062818 0.121001 0.258193 0.613499 1.629481 5.517940
2026-03-22 0.032678 0.061534 0.120833 0.264388 0.649229 1.800964 6.511927
2026-03-29 0.031321 0.059863 0.119653 0.267965 0.678566 1.961367 7.554185
2026-04-05 0.030074 0.058312 0.118572 0.271637 0.709002 2.135000 8.766093
2026-04-12 0.029168 0.057400 0.118819 0.278741 0.751168 2.363139 10.401926
2026-04-19 0.027905 0.055613 0.116891 0.279873 0.775418 2.534914 11.873342
2026-04-26 0.026645 0.053730 0.114558 0.279611 0.795336 2.697543 13.423880